Each Lower Seed Team Most Likely To Pull an Upset in the NCAA Tournament

11 Seed: Gonzaga

Like the 13 seeds, I think the 11 seeds can do some damage. Gonzaga is my pick as the most likely to win. Seton Hall is riding momentum, taking down both Xavier and Villanova on the way to winning the Big East conference championship. Gonzaga though is just a team that plays better than their 11 seed. What makes them so difficult is their bigs. Sabonis and Wiltjer are both over 6’10” and might be the best down low duo in the tournament. Size is something you can’t teach and is hard to guard. The tallest player on Seton Hall is just 6’9”.

10 Seed: VCU

Oregon State is 19-12 and 9-9 against the conference. That’s not the best numbers for a seven seed. While Gary Payton II being the best player for Oregon State can help against VCU’s relentless D, the Rams have experience against quality teams. They have close losses to higher ranked Duke, Dayton, St. Joe’s, Wisconsin, and Cincinnati. If the Rams can play them close, than they have a very realistic shot over Oregon State.

9 Seed: Providence

Looking at the statistics, USC and Providence look very similar. Both haven’t done well recently and have struggled against top teams going a combined 1-13 against top 25 teams. Where the two differ is that Providence might have some of the top players in the tournament. PG Kris Dunn could be a top ten draft pick and sophomore Ben Bentil is averaging over 21 points a game. The dangerous duo leads Providence to a match against the Tar Heels.

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